Tesla’s stock has entered 2025 with renewed momentum, driven by advancements in FSD technology and expanding global production. The technical setup suggests a critical juncture with clear risk parameters.

Key Points

  • Stock consolidating after 30% YTD gain
  • FSD revenue growth accelerating
  • Production efficiency improving margins
  • Institutional positioning increasing

Technical Setup Analysis

The technical picture for Tesla shows a complex pattern formation. After finding support at $200, the stock has established a series of higher lows with increasing volume. Notable patterns include:

  • Inverse head and shoulders forming
  • 200-day MA providing dynamic support
  • Compression pattern near resistance
  • Momentum indicators turning positive

Volume Profile Analysis

Volume analysis reveals shifting sentiment:

  • Accumulation at technical support
  • Dark pool activity increasing
  • Options flow showing bullish divergence
  • Block trades concentrated at key levels

Risk Assessment Framework

Given Tesla’s historical volatility, strict risk management is essential:

  • Key support at $200 level
  • Stop losses below recent swing lows
  • Profit targets at $280 and $300
  • Position sizing based on ATR